How would MyHub.ai evolve to become part of the ATmosphere?
(Notes: This is an early draft. As explained in this newsletter edition, I am publishing these early versions as I develop my thoughts in the hope that constructive comments will help me finish the post. More version control in the footer.)
In 2025, the ATmosphere is the right ecosystem to bet on for developing decentralised collective intelligence. As this is more than just exchanging 300-character status updates, the ATmosphere will need:
How would moving MyHub.ai onto the ATmosphere help? My basic answer can be found in my January 2023 manifesto posts, but that was before I understood really anything about ATProtocol. I've therefore created this page to collect my evolving ideas for how those ideas would translate onto the ATmosphere.
Transform the myhub.ai platform into a opensource, markdown-based, ATmosphere-enabled publishing toolkit interconnected with thinking and collaboration tools, and use it to explore how productive online communities can be made self-sustaining.
Today, a Hub is just a personal site combining social bookmarking ("Stuff I Like"), blogging ("Stuff I Think"), and a personal portfolio ("Stuff I Do"). It is published on the myhub.ai platform, which I launched in March 2020.
As you'll see from my Hub (https://myhub.ai/@mathewlowry/):
As a result, a Hub:
But that's what a Hub is today. Having played with mine in one form or another since 2013, I have more than a few ideas about its future.
Cards are made to be shared, and Hubs - as their name implies - are designed to be connected. But why limit this to Hubs?
The toolkit I want to create will enable users to create a wide variety of ATmosphere-connected sites, not just Hubs. As set out in those January 2023 manifesto posts, that means connecting Hubs in three different ways:
These are explored in the next three sections. There are also a couple of other key features required for Hub monetisation, explored in "Business model", after that. Finally, the tools we will develop will allow users to create other sorts of ATmosphere-connected sites, not just Hubs.
Goal: offer seamless interconnection between each Editors' private library of notes and their public Hub, ready for the ATmosphere.
In practice, this means creating a "Hub toolkit": an opensource dynamic site publishing toolkit for ATmosphere, including a first Hub theme. This toolkit will allow users to:
These sites are published on the ATmosphere, enabling their interconnection with other Hubs and other ATProto accounts, as explored in Connection 2, below.
Moreover, each site is the public-facing edge of the user's private library of notes and drafts, stored in markdown format either on the cloud or on their own machine, to which Editors can invite Trusted Friends to collaborate (not shown):
(from Thinking transparently in the ATmosphere, December 2024)
What's this got to do with the ATmosphere? In the next section we'll briefly describe how Hubs will be networked together via the ATmosphere, and with Bluesky and other ATmosphere apps. The above developments are therefore required to:
Goal: Each Hub (and, behind it, the Editor's thinking tool) is networked with other Hubs and other apps on the ATmosphere - essentially, both ends (Inbox and Outbox) of each integrated writing & thinking stack are connected to everyone via ATProto.
(from Thinking transparently in the ATmosphere, December 2024, updating Thinking and writing in a decentralised collective intelligence ecosystem, January 2023)
As set out under Business Model (next), one of the two revenue streams to explore is something I have come to call AI4communities. It means that individuals or - ideally - communities of people in the ATmosphere can collectively lease or own a range of AI services to help them be more productive and/or creative online.
(from How Artificial Intelligence will finance Collective Intelligence, January 2023, but currently being updated on my wiki - see below)
There could be a range of business models for providing these services, from pure subscription through to the community leasing or owning "their" model, and affraying the costs though data-sharing, as set out elsewhere:
Moreover, as I pointed out in 2020 when I launched myhub.ai, each community could act as a data union: rather than just buying or renting an AI to support their community, they could monetise the resulting algorithm to at least help cover the costs of running the community. While I shelved this idea when ChatGPT appeared, the model collapse paper now suggests that the training data created by well-managed communities could be the new currency of collective intelligence" - AI4Communities: a model for a self-sustaining, user-owned public sphere
Many AI services will support individuals (cf Bluesky users subscribing to custom feeds and block lists) but other services could support entire communities, and can be configured and fine-tuned by the members to ensure they reflect their interests and preferences.
The post explores a range of possible AI services (content discovery, content moderation and governance, "centaur services" to support individual's and communities' creativity, etc.), and links to subfiles exploring how they would look on the Fediverse and ATmosphere (one on Nostr is next). However, there are certainly many more.
All of them, moreover, become more valuable to users when they have more content to work with. That's important, because when you have a Hub on the ATmosphere you can choose to give your AI services access to a lot of content:
Individual users and communities would access these services via what the Three Legged Stool manifesto calls a “Friendly Neighborhood Algorithm Store”, so this project will explore and demonstrate:
The goal is both to develop a set of opensource tools which anyone can build on and with, and in the process explore two revenue streams.
When I set out to create myhub.ai, I initially intended to simply develop a personal Hub for myself. My developer, however, suggested making it a platform to see if anyone else would want one. So we did, and went live just as Covid struck. It was a bad moment to market anything, so I simply explored the tool and developed my ideas, occasionally including a link to a Collection on my Hub in social conversations. Despite zero marketing, I had around 250 signups (January 2025).
With the emergence of the ATmosphere, however, I think Hubs are a good tool to break down the barriers between social and publishing, creating and curating. However, a business model is required if it is really make an impact.
To explore these new opportunities we therefore need to build the above tools so that we can explore and demonstrate the following revenue models:
As mentioned above, with a few features added each Hub will become a "Substack on Steroids", allowing Editors to offer subscribers access to:
As a result we will support creators for not just creating, but also curating, high-value content, and integrate this content into social and collaborative networks.
Subscriptions are also relevant to the communities we want to see develop in the ATmosphere. Community members may pay a small subscription fee for access to an improved community environment and tools, supplied by, inter alia:
Moreover, the model collapse phenomenon may mean that a user's or communities' content may become valuable AI training data. This is particularly the case where a community is using apps which go beyond simple shortform chat - ie, the more communities curate, discuss and (co-)create longform, original content, the more valuable training data they will create, which they can then monetise as a community.
Note that this is somewhat speculative, not least because the existence of the original model collapse phenomenon has been called into question since the original papers in May and July. I nevertheless believe that authentically human, high-value content created by communities may become valuable to future AI development, for example to provide seeds for synthetic training data.
Currently I'd tackle the above developments in the following order:
I thought I'd conclude with the final image from one of my first Whitewind posts, which takes one of the images from my January 2023 manifesto posts and updates it for the ATmosphere.
(from Thinking transparently in the ATmosphere, December 2024.)
It shows:
It doesn't show AI services supporting users in their thinking tool, but no one image can capture all the possibilities, and no one project should attempt to build everything.
Instead, everything that is to be built must be built to work with everything else.
This is one of this wiki's pages managed with the permanent versions pattern described in Two wiki authors and a blogger walk into a bar…